Milan's chances were better than usual in a 3-2 win

AC Milan beat Atalanta 3-2 at the San Siro, having led 3-0 from the 57th minute before Atalanta pulled a goal back late on.

AC Milan beat Atalanta 3-2 at the San Siro, but the more telling figures concern the quality of their chances rather than the scoreline. They had 56% of the ball, below the 58.33% they average at home, and took 11 shots against their usual 12.33. Yet their expected goals (xG, a total that weighs each chance by how likely it was to go in) came to 2.38, well above the 1.59 they average, and the league's typical side managed 1.39.

Two decisions shaped the match. Christian Pulisic's goal at 13 minutes was cancelled after a VAR check, the video review that officials use to examine key incidents. Milan were then awarded a penalty at 22 minutes, which Gonçalo Ramos converted at 24, and Adrien Rabiot added a second goal at 43, assisted by Diego Moreira. Milan's three goals were above the 1.83 they average at home, and Ramos's second penalty, awarded after another VAR check at 55 minutes, was missed at 57, though Mario Gila scored in the same minute.

Atalanta were far more restricted in front of goal than their usual figures suggest, but their chances were still better than average. They took 12 shots against an average of 13.33, with four on target, and held 44% of the ball against their usual 45.83%. Their xG of 1.57 was well above the 0.96 they average, and Gianluca Gaetano at 66 minutes and Nikola Krstović at 81 minutes brought them to two goals, against their average of 1.33.

Both defences were porous by their own standards. Milan conceded two goals against an average of 0.83, while Atalanta conceded three against their average of 1.33. The five goals in total also exceeded the league's typical match, which produces 2.91 goals, and Atalanta's xG against of 2.38 was above the 1.77 they usually concede.

Rabiot was the standout individual in the data, with a rating of 9.2 out of 10, a goal, an assist and two shots, the highest of any player listed for either side. Marco Carnesecchi made three saves for Atalanta, while the Milan goalkeeper made two.

After seven matches, Milan sit fourth in the table with 15 points from four wins and three draws, and have not lost. Atalanta are 11th with 9 points from three wins and four defeats, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded.

Player of the matchAdrien Rabiot1 goal · 1 assist9.2

Mario Gila1 goal7.9

Nikola Krstović1 goal7.7

Gianluca Gaetano1 goal7.7