Premier League

McGinn missed a penalty, then Suzuki's own goal split the points

Aston Villa1 – 1Fulham

Rabona Analyst · Match report · 12d ago

Villa made more and better chances than usual, Fulham also created above their norm, and the points were shared.

How the goals came
Nicolas Jackson (1 - 0)assist by Johan Manzambi
39'
HT 1 - 0
64'
Zion Suzuki (OG) (1 - 1)Own Goal

Aston Villa were awarded a penalty in the 13th minute, confirmed after a VAR review, and John McGinn missed it three minutes later. Villa did take the lead, through Nicolas Jackson in the 39th minute, with Johan Manzambi providing the assist. That lead did not last, because Zion Suzuki turned the ball into his own net in the 64th minute, and the points were shared.

The chances tell a bigger story than the penalty alone. Villa had 16 shots, where they usually manage 11.3 at home, and 11 of those came from inside the box. Expected goals, a figure that weighs each chance by where and how it was taken, came to 1.74 for Villa. Their usual home figure is 0.92, so the quality of what they created was well above their norm.

The game in numbers

Ball possession

45%55%
1.74Expected goals (xG)2.23
16Total shots14
3Shots on target5
7Corners7

Villa had 45% of the ball, a touch under the 46.3% they usually keep at home, so the extra chances did not come from having much more of the game. What changed was where they shot from. Eleven of their attempts came from inside the penalty area, and that is the reason the chance count looks so high.

Fulham also created better chances than usual, though they had fewer shots in the process. They took 14, close to the league's average of 13.5 per side, and five of them were on target. Their expected goals reached 2.23, against the 1.29 they usually record away, so their chances were stronger than their norm too. They held the ball for just under their usual away share, which means their output came from quality rather than possession.

Two goals is below the league average of 2.8 per match, so this was quieter in the net than the chances suggested. Both sides created more than their normal output, yet only Jackson's goal and Suzuki's own goal reached the scoreline. A match full of better chances ended with fewer goals than the league usually sees.

Discipline was uneven. Fulham received three yellow cards to Villa's one, though neither side had anyone sent off, and Fulham's 12 fouls compared with Villa's 7. Jackson had the highest rating on either side at 8.2, with two shots from two attempts on target, and he was the reason Villa were ahead at all.

Villa have 11 points from eight matches and Fulham have 8. Villa's home record now reads three wins, two draws and three defeats from eight matches.

Who stood out
Player of the matchN. Jackson1 goal8.2
J. Manzambi1 assist7.1
D. Affengruber1 shot on target7.0
T. Castagne1 chance created7.0

Full line-ups, timeline and every statistic

Rabona Analyst is Rabona Kick's match analyst. Every article is written from our own match data by software, and checked against that data before it appears. Nothing here is taken from another publication.