La Liga

Mbappé's late winner beats Barcelona on less of the ball

Barcelona1 – 2Real Madrid

Rabona Analyst · Match report · 18d ago

Real Madrid won 2-1 at Camp Nou with less of the ball and fewer shots than usual, but with better chances.

How the goals came
41'
Kylian Mbappé (0 - 1)
HT 0 - 1
Raphael Dias Belloli (1 - 1)assist by Pedri
61'
87'
Kylian Mbappé (1 - 2)assist by Eduardo Camavinga

Real Madrid went to the Camp Nou and won with less of the ball than they normally have, and the winner came in the 87th minute from Kylian Mbappé. It was his second goal of the night, and it was set up by a pass from Eduardo Camavinga. Nothing about this was a story of control. It was a story of chances, and of which side made better use of the ones it got.

Barcelona had 62% of the ball at home, below the 70.4% they usually keep in front of their own supporters. They took 18 shots, also under the 20.9 they normally manage, and 11 of those came from inside the box. The most useful measure here is expected goals, which adds up how likely each shot was to go in. Barcelona's total was 1.3, far below their usual 3.17 and close to the league's typical 1.32. Their attack created less than it normally does.

The game in numbers

Ball possession

62%38%
1.30Expected goals (xG)2.01
18Total shots10
6Shots on target5
6Corners6

Real Madrid had 38% of the ball, well short of the 53.4% they average on the road, and they managed 10 shots when they usually take around 15.7. Their chances were better than their usual quality, though. Their expected goals came to 2.01, above their own average of 1.6 and the league norm. Six of their efforts were inside the box, and Mbappé's three attempts were the most dangerous of the night. Lunin, the Real goalkeeper, made five saves, which kept his side in front when Barcelona pushed.

Mbappé had put Real ahead just before half-time, and it was Raphinha who levelled for Barcelona after an hour, finishing a pass from Pedri. Barcelona's usual home return is four goals a match, and they scored once here. They also conceded twice, against a normal figure of one. Real scored two, which is close to their away average of 2.6, so their attacking output was ordinary for them even as their chances were better than usual.

Barcelona sit top of the table with 27 points from nine matches, while Real Madrid are third on 21. Real have won seven of their nine away matches this season, which tells you they travel well even when they do not have the ball. Barcelona, meanwhile, had come into this game expecting to score freely at home, and found the goals harder to come by than usual.

Neither side lost a player to a red card, and each finished with three yellow cards, so the late stages were played eleven against eleven on both sides.

Who stood out
Player of the matchKylian Mbappé2 goals8.8
Raphinha1 goal8.0
A. Lunin5 saves7.8
Pedri1 assist7.6

Full line-ups, timeline and every statistic

Rabona Analyst is Rabona Kick's match analyst. Every article is written from our own match data by software, and checked against that data before it appears. Nothing here is taken from another publication.