A penalty opened the door, and Vanspor walked through it

Vanspor won 3-0 at Boluspor, with better chances than the home side, who held more of the ball but could not turn it into goals.

Hikmet Çiftçi's penalty in the 58th minute was the moment this match turned, and Vanspor did the rest with the chances that came their way. Boluspor had 46% of the ball, well above the 36% they usually keep at home this season, but that share did not produce much. Vanspor finished with 54%, also above their own away average of 45.7%, and they used it far more sharply.

The difference was in the chances. Expected goals, a measure that adds up how likely each shot was to go in based on where and how it was taken, came to 1.5 for Vanspor, against their away average of 1.16. Boluspor usually concede around 0.74 of those chances per game at home, so letting in this many was out of pattern for them.

Boluspor's own attack was quieter than usual. They had eight shots, close to their normal 7.7, but those chances were worth 0.36 in total, against a home average of 0.46. Vanspor's 11 shots sat close to the league figure of 11.5 per side, while Boluspor's eight sat below it, which fits a team that struggled to find good openings.

İlkan Sever scored in the 70th minute, set up by Sinan Osmanoğlu, and the video referee confirmed the goal two minutes later. Sever was the highest-rated player on the pitch, with a rating of 8.0, and his goal was the kind that changes how a game feels for the team that conceded it. Hikmet Çiftçi, who took the penalty, also had a hand in the attack throughout the first half of his time on the pitch.

Boluspor's keeper A. Tafas made five saves and was the best-rated home player, with a rating of 7.4, which says where the home side's defence was working hardest. Without him the margin could have been wider, and the 3-0 scoreline is still a fair reflection of how the chances fell. The league averages 2.7 goals per match, and this game produced three, so the scoring itself was close to ordinary.

The table gives this result more weight. Boluspor sit 20th with one point from ten matches, and Vanspor are 18th with seven points from eleven. Boluspor have scored three goals and conceded 22 in their ten home league matches this season, a record that tells you more about their problems than any possession count could.

Player of the matchİlkan Sever1 goal8.0

S. Osmanoğlu1 assist7.8

H. Çiftçi1 goal · 1 assist7.7

A. Damlu3 saves7.6