Palmer's red card at 80 left Chelsea down to ten against Tottenham
Tottenham won 2-0 at Stamford Bridge after Cole Palmer was sent off, and the chance figures show the visitors creating a little more than the hosts.
Cole Palmer's red card at 80 minutes is the first thing to say about this match, because it left Chelsea a man short when they were already behind. An own goal from Mike Penders at 77 had put Tottenham in front, and Mathys Tel made it 2-0 at 87, by which point Chelsea were playing with ten men. The closing stages were played eleven against ten, and the scoreline reflects that.
The possession figures show Tottenham spent most of the afternoon with the ball. They had 69% of it, against their usual 60.3% on the road, so they had more than they normally keep away from home. Chelsea had 31%, well under the 47% they usually keep at Stamford Bridge. Possession alone does not decide a match, but this is a clear shift from how both sides normally play.
Ball possession
Chances are where the ball share starts to matter. Expected goals, a rough measure of how good each chance was based on where and how the shot was taken, gave Tottenham 0.8 and Chelsea 0.51. Chelsea's usual home figure is 1.84, so this was a long way short of what they normally create. Tottenham's figure sat under their away average of 0.96, so the visitors did not create their best either, but they created more than the hosts.
Tottenham had 15 shots, eight of them from inside the penalty area, which is above the league average of 13.2 shots per team. Chelsea had seven, six from inside the box, and that was not enough to trouble the visitors' defence for long. Chelsea normally score 2.4 goals at home and scored none here. Tottenham normally score 0.9 away and scored two, which is the clearest sign that the visitors were on the right side of the finishing.
Tottenham's goalkeeper, A. Kinský, made four saves and conceded nothing, against an away average of 1.4 goals conceded. Chelsea conceded two, a little more than their usual 1.9 at home, and their keeper made three saves. The defensive numbers therefore point the same way as the attacking ones: the visitors had the better of the chances, and the home side paid for it.
Mathys Tel was the player who did the most damage late on. His goal at 87 was his only real contribution in front of goal, but he also had two shots on target, won seven duels and completed four dribbles, which is why he was rated 8.1 for the match. Those numbers describe a player who kept working when the game was already in his side's favour.
Palmer's first booking came at 71, nine minutes before the second that ended his afternoon at 80.
M. Tel
A. Kinský
Mateus Fernandes
J. van Hecke
1 goal