Gremio hold more of the ball, then win it in the 90th minute

Gremio beat Coritiba 1-0 at Couto Pereira, with Martin Braithwaite's late goal settling a match in which the visitors had more of the ball and better chances.

Coritiba held out for 89 minutes at the Estádio Couto Pereira, and then Martin Braithwaite scored in the 90th minute to give Gremio a 1-0 win. It was a hard finish for a home side that has now conceded 49 goals in 31 matches, but the numbers suggest the late goal was not the only thing that stood out.

The most telling figure is possession. Gremio had 58% of the ball, well above their usual 47.4%, while Coritiba's 42% was almost exactly their normal 42.1%. Coritiba were not pushed off the ball any more than usual. Gremio simply kept it for longer.

Shots show the same shift. Gremio took 17, against their usual 12.1, and 12 of those came from inside the box. Coritiba took 12, against their usual 13.2, so they shot less often than normal. Their expected goals figure, or xG, which scores each chance by how often chances like it tend to go in, was 1.21, above their usual 0.98.

That combination is the odd part of this match. Coritiba had fewer shots than usual, but the ones they did take were better, and still they did not score. Gremio's xG of 1.75 was well above their usual 1.09, yet their single goal matched their normal return of one per match, which means the finishing was ordinary even though the chances were not.

Two individuals stood out for different reasons. Amuzu had five shots, two of them on target, and the assist for Braithwaite's goal. Jacy won 14 individual battles for Coritiba, the highest count on either side in the figures available. Braithwaite's goal earned him a rating of 7.7, the best of the match.

Gremio's recent away form is mixed, with a draw and a defeat in their last two games on the road. Coritiba's home results are also uneven. Across the division, a typical side takes 14.9 shots a match, and the average game produces 2.8 goals. This one produced just one, which makes Braithwaite's finish the moment that defined it.

Pedro Luccas made five saves for Coritiba, more than anyone else on the pitch. The goal that beat him came in the 90th minute, and that was enough.

Player of the matchM. Braithwaite1 goal7.7

Wallace1 shot on target7.6

C. Pavón5 chances created7.5

João Pedro2 duels won7.4