Coritiba's chances ran well above their norm, Vitoria's did not

Coritiba's chances outran their usual level while Vitoria's fell well short of theirs, and the goals followed the openings.

Coritiba took 20 shots in their win over Vitoria at the Estádio Couto Pereira, and that count matters more than the scoreline suggests. Their usual home average is 13.1 shots, so this was not just a busier evening than normal. Most of those efforts came from inside the penalty area, which is where the good chances are usually found, and both goals came after the interval.

Expected goals, usually shortened to xG, scores each chance by how often shots of that kind go in, so a high total means a side has been creating good openings rather than speculative efforts. Coritiba reached 2.16 here. Their usual figure at home is 1.02, and the average side in this league produces 1.39 per match. They scored twice, while their home norm is 1.1 goals per game, so the finishing kept pace with the chances.

Pedro Rocha opened the scoring in the 58th minute, and Tinga doubled the lead in the 69th, with Tiago Coser credited with the assist. Coser was rated 8.2 for his part in the move. Tinga's rating of 7.9 came with three shots, one of which found the target, and it was the kind of contribution that turns a tight afternoon into a comfortable one for the home side.

Possession was close to even, with Coritiba on 51%, which is a clear step up from their usual home share of 42.1%. The other 49% went to Vitoria, so the visitors were not short of the ball. What separated the sides was what happened once they had it, and the shot figures tell that story far more clearly than the share of the ball does.

Vitoria managed only 6 shots, below their away average of 12.9, and just one of them was on target. Their expected goals reached 0.52, against a usual away figure of 0.83, which means the chances they did create were thinner than they normally are. Their tally of nothing sits well under the 1.1 goals they usually score on the road. Their goalkeeper, Lucas Arcanjo, made five saves and was rated 7.3, the most active keeper in the match by some distance.

Coritiba's recent home form has been poor, with four defeats in their last home games and a goal conceded in every one of them. That makes a clean sheet in this match a change of pattern rather than a settled trend. Vitoria's away record is no better, with a single win and three draws from their recent trips, and this result adds another narrow frustration to that run.

Coritiba are 12th on 39 points and Vitoria are 14th on 38, with both sides having played 32 matches.

Player of the matchTiago Cóser1 assist8.2

Tinga1 goal7.9

Breno Lopes3 chances created7.7

Gean de Jesus Soares1 chance created7.7