Pendikspor win 1-0 with less of the ball and a 50th-minute goal

Fatih Karagümrük had more of the ball and more of the good chances, but Pendikspor left with the points after a goal early in the second half.

Fatih Karagümrük had the ball, and they had the better openings, yet they lost 1-0 to Pendikspor. The decider came in the 50th minute, when D. Hrelja finished a move that Hakan Yesil had started. It was the only goal of the afternoon, and it arrived five minutes after the restart.

Karagümrük had 61% of the possession, above the 53.4% they usually keep at home, and they completed 493 of their 550 passes. Most of their threat came close to goal: 11 of their 13 shots were taken from inside the box. The trouble was accuracy, because only four of those efforts were on target, and E. Dadük stopped them all that he could reach.

Pendikspor had 39% of the ball, well short of the 53.3% they usually keep when they travel. Their 13 shots were a touch more than their usual 12 away from home. Expected goals, or xG, is a way of valuing each shot by how likely it was to go in, and Pendikspor's chances added up to 1.05, which is above their normal 0.8. Karagümrük's chances were worth 1.47, almost exactly the 1.44 they usually create at home.

The goal itself was built on a clear chance that the home side could not match. Pendikspor kept their 360 passes at a lower rate than Karagümrük, completing 294 of them, and still found the moment that counted. Karagümrük's defence, which normally concedes 1.3 goals a game at home, was breached only once here. Pendikspor's away average is 1.9 goals conceded, so keeping a clean sheet away from home is not something they do often.

Across the 80 matches in this league, the average was 2.9 goals a game, so a single goal makes this one a quiet afternoon by that measure. Both sides had 13 shots, comfortably above the league average of 11.6 per team. That tells us the chances were there for both teams, even if the finishing was not.

Karagümrük sit 10th in the table with 16 points from 12 matches. Pendikspor are 17th with 11 points from the same number of games, and they had not won in their last six matches before this one. The win therefore breaks a run for a side that has been short of positive results, and it does so with less of the ball than they usually hold.

Player of the matchD. Hrelja1 goal8.1

E. Dadük4 saves7.7

D. Biraschi1 chance created7.4

H. Yeşil1 assist7.3