Hajduk's clean sheet came despite Thun's better chances
HNK Hajduk Split beat FC Thun 1-0 in the Europa Conference League, on D. de Almeida's early goal, with a penalty by M. Sego missed in the second half.
HNK Hajduk Split left the Stockhorn Arena with three points after a goal from D. de Almeida in the 17th minute. That early strike decided the scoreboard. Later, M. Sego had a penalty in the 67th minute and missed it, a chance that would have doubled the lead had it gone in. A missed spot kick by the side already in front does not change the result, but it is the first thing a reader who was there would bring up.
The chances told a different story from the scoreline. Thun had 52% of the ball to Hajduk's 48%, and they took 11 shots to Hajduk's 10. Eight of Thun's efforts came from inside the penalty area, against four for Hajduk, which is the kind of return usually linked with the better chances. Hajduk's efforts were more accurate, though, finding the target more often, and their one goal was enough.
Ball possession
Expected goals, a figure that rates each chance by how often similar chances go in, gave both sides an identical total. That suggests the chances were roughly level in quality, even though Thun created more of them close to goal. Thun's shot count and expected goals sat close to the league averages of 12.2 shots and 1.29 per side, so their attacking output was ordinary for this competition rather than remarkable.
Hajduk's own away form is where the story lies. In away matches they usually have 50.4% of the ball, take 11.5 shots, create 1.8 expected goals and score 3.2 goals. Here they had 48% of the ball and 10 shots, and their single goal fell well short of that normal scoring. The attack was quieter than usual on the road, and the win rested on one goal.
The defence did the work instead. Away from home they usually concede 1.4 goals and allow 0.95 expected goals, and this time Thun's chances ran above that level, yet Hajduk conceded nothing. Toni Silić made the saves that mattered and was rated 7.9, the highest mark among the players listed for either side.
Thun's Niklas Steffen was just as busy at the other end, and Nils Reichmuth won 12 duels in a game decided by a single goal. Neither goalkeeper had an easy evening, which is part of why the scoreline looks tidier than the chances did.
Hajduk have won five of their last six matches, a run that gives them momentum heading into the rest of the group. Thun have won one of their last six. The table now puts Hajduk 13th and Thun 32nd, with Thun still on nothing.
Toni Silić
Dennis Hadžikadunić
Nils Reichmuth
Alberto del Moral
3 saves
2 chances created