Two late goals gave Göztepe a win from fewer chances

Göztepe beat Fenerbahçe 2-1 at Chobani Stadium with less of the ball and fewer good chances, scoring twice in the last quarter.

Göztepe won at Chobani Stadium after going behind, and they did it with less of the ball and fewer chances than they usually create. Mattéo Guendouzi gave Fenerbahçe the lead just before half-time, finishing a move that Romelu Lukaku set up. Sinclair Armstrong levelled in the 76th minute, and André Henrique put Göztepe in front two minutes later, finishing a pass from F. Anjorin.

Fenerbahçe had 66% of the ball, far above the 51.4% they usually keep at home. To judge how good a side's chances are, football people use expected goals, a figure that adds up the likelihood of each shot going in, so a tap-in counts for far more than a long-range effort. Fenerbahçe's came to 1.49, well short of the 2.39 they usually manage at home. Their 15 shots were close to their normal count, but fewer of them were the kind that tend to go in, and one goal from a side that averages 2.9 at home was the result.

Göztepe had 34% of the ball, below the 39.9% they usually have away, and took 12 shots when they average 14.6. Their chances added up to 1.20 expected goals, under their away average of 1.87 and also under the league figure of 1.25 for a side in a match. Göztepe had fewer and poorer chances than usual, yet they scored twice, and that is the part of the match that stands out most.

Both goals came in the final quarter, a 76th-minute equaliser and a 78th-minute lead, so two goals in three minutes changed the whole result. Göztepe conceded just once, against the 1.8 they usually concede away, and the two sides' goalkeepers were level on the evening, with Ederson and Arda Özçimen each making four saves. Göztepe's defence held firm in the closing stages after Fenerbahçe had carried most of the attacking, and that is the story the numbers tell.

Fenerbahçe completed passes at 84% accuracy, against Göztepe's 69%, which tells us how much more of the match Fenerbahçe spent in possession. Göztepe committed 18 fouls to Fenerbahçe's 8, a reminder of how much of the afternoon they spent chasing the ball. Arda Kurtulan earned the top rating of the match, 8.2, for his work in midfield for Göztepe, and Guendouzi's finish was the only goal Fenerbahçe had to show for their pressure.

Fenerbahçe, on 16 points from nine games, are fifth in the table, and Göztepe, on 12 points from nine, are tenth.

Player of the matchArda Kurtulan1 chance created8.2

Kojo Peprah Oppong1 chance created7.9

Arda Özçimen4 saves7.6

Sinclair Armstrong1 goal7.5