Jagiellonia's chances dried up as Anderlecht won 3-0 at home

Anderlecht won 3-0 in the Europa League, scoring from chances that were worth far less than the goals they produced.

Jagiellonia managed six shots at home to Anderlecht, and only one of them tested the goalkeeper. Expected goals, a figure that gives each shot a value based on how often shots like it turn into goals, put the home side at 0.29. Their usual figure at home this season is 1.06, so their chances were well below normal before a single goal went in.

Anderlecht's chances were ordinary for them. Their expected goals came to 1, against an away average of 1.29, and their 14 shots were close to the 14.7 they usually take on their travels. They had 57% of the ball, a little above the 52.3% they tend to keep away from home, so they were comfortable with possession without running the match.

The goals are what make this one worth discussing. Anderlecht scored three from chances worth about 1, and their away average is 1.6 goals a match. Three is a long way above that, and it is not a total the chances alone would have predicted.

Mihajlo Cvetkovic opened the scoring in the 21st minute, and Marten Winkler made it two in the 72nd, set up by Enric Llansana. Llansana was involved again in the 80th minute, when Jayden Onia-Seke finished the third, so he had a hand in two of the three. Winkler finished the match with a rating of 8.1, the highest in either side's list of players.

Nobody was sent off, so the match stayed eleven against eleven throughout, and both sides picked up three yellow cards each. Jagiellonia's defence allowed an expected 1 to Anderlecht, below the 1.63 they usually concede at home, which means the visitors were not handed a flood of clear openings. Still, the home side let in three goals against their usual 1.3. Their goalkeeper, S. Abramowicz, made five saves, while the visiting keeper had only one to make.

The result leaves the two clubs in very different places. Jagiellonia have three points from two Europa League games, having won one and lost one. Anderlecht have none, with both of their games lost, and the first of those defeats is now the only thing they have to show from this competition's opening weeks.

Player of the matchM. Winkler1 goal8.1

M. Cvetković1 goal7.7

G. Biancone1 chance created7.7

O. Reabciuk2 chances created7.6