Kifisia made more chances, but lost to a 90th-minute winner

Olympiakos Piraeus won 3-2 at Kifisia after two late goals, with fewer chances than their away average would suggest.

Kifisia had the better chances in this match, yet the winner went to Olympiakos Piraeus. Both late goals came in the 90th minute: Gerson Sousa levelled for the home side, and Gelson Martins put the visitors back in front within the same minute. The team that had been playing with less of the ball than usual came away with the points.

Kifisia took 16 shots, well above the 10.9 they average in home matches, and nine of them were from inside the box. Expected goals is a way of scoring each chance by how often that kind of chance tends to go in. On that measure Kifisia's total of 1.3 was above their home average of 1.04, so the chances were real, not just a high count of efforts.

Kifisia had 49% of the ball, a little under their home average of 52.6%. Olympiakos Piraeus had 51%, which is well below their away average of 60.4%, and they took 14 shots against an away average of 17.6. Their expected goals of 0.86 sat below their own away average of 1.09 and the league figure of 1.22 for a typical side.

Olympiakos Piraeus scored three times from those fewer chances, and their goals came from different players. Joel Roca opened the scoring early in the second half, set up by Chiquinho, and Marius Mouandilmadji doubled the lead at 71 minutes, again with Chiquinho providing the pass. Chiquinho finished the match with two assists, and he was the thread running through most of the visitors' attacks.

Jordi Mboula pulled one back for Kifisia at 80 minutes, after a pass from Georgios Kyriopoulos, and his own chance then led to Gerson Sousa's equaliser in the 90th minute. Gerson Sousa, who was rated 8.2 for his display, had been the home side's most dangerous player all afternoon. Ortega made six saves for the visitors, but Olympiakos Piraeus still conceded two goals, against an away average of 0.2, while Kifisia conceded three against their home average of 1.4.

Kifisia picked up six yellow cards to the visitors' two, and neither side had a player sent off. The sequence of discipline did not change the outcome, but it does add to a match in which the home side spent much of its energy on attack. The late goals left Olympiakos Piraeus with a win that their away numbers would not have predicted.

On the road Olympiakos Piraeus have won six of their eight matches, which puts them second on that record. Kifisia are seventh on their home record, with 11 points from eight matches. The win moves the visitors further clear of the home side in the table and leaves Kifisia still searching for their first home win of the stretch.

Player of the matchGerson Sousa1 goal8.2

Chiquinho2 assists7.7

S. Ortega6 saves7.7

Jordi Mboula1 goal · 1 assist7.7