Three goals in 17 minutes, and Derby spent the rest chasing

Millwall beat Derby 4-1 at The Den, with Kyrell Lisbie scoring twice and a fast start that left the visitors playing catch-up.

Millwall scored three times in the opening 17 minutes at The Den, and Derby spent the rest of the afternoon chasing a game that had already slipped away. Kyrell Lisbie put them ahead in the third minute from Lyndon Dykes' assist, doubled the lead in the tenth with Caleb Taylor providing the pass, and Luke Cundle, set up by Camiel Neghli, made it three soon after.

The chances behind those goals were not ordinary. Millwall had 22 shots, nine of them on target, and an expected goals figure of 3.95. Expected goals, or xG, adds up how good each chance was based on where it was taken from, so a total near four means a side created a lot of clear openings. At home Millwall usually have 13.9 shots and 1.61 expected goals a match, so this was a far bigger attacking afternoon than their norm.

Their four goals also sat well above their usual return of 1.7 at home, which is what you would expect when the chances are that much better. Possession followed the same pattern. Millwall had 56% of the ball, up from their home average of 48.9%, while Derby were held to 44%, below the 51.8% they usually see away from home.

Derby did not fail to create. They had 13 shots, four on target, and an expected goals figure a little above their away norm of 0.96. Filip Bilbija's 87th-minute strike was their only goal, and that was also more than their usual 0.7 away. The trouble lay at the other end, where they conceded four against an away average of 1.9, with Jake Cooper's goal in the 84th minute adding to a margin that had been wide since the first quarter of an hour.

Millwall's defence, by contrast, let in one goal, against their usual 1.5 at home, and their goalkeeper made three saves. Lisbie's double earned him a rating of 8.4, and he was replaced in the 74th minute. On the Derby side, goalkeeper J. Widell Zetterström made five saves, more than any other player on the pitch made in a single action.

Millwall now sit 14th in the table with 15 points from 12 home matches, four of them wins. Derby are 23rd, with seven points from 12 away games: one win, four draws and seven defeats. Their last six away matches have produced three draws and three defeats, with no wins among them.

Player of the matchK. Lisbie2 goals8.4

L. Cundle1 goal8.2

M. Ivanović1 assist7.7

C. Neghli1 assist7.7