Bragantino's chances well above their norm; Wallace Yan settles it

RB Bragantino beat Chapecoense 3-0 at home, with Wallace Yan scoring twice and the home side's chances running well above their usual level.

Wallace Yan scored at 43 minutes, just before halftime, and struck again eight minutes after the restart, so the match was effectively settled before the hour. RB Bragantino had 59% of the ball, which is well above the 49% they usually keep at home. The more telling figures, though, are what they did with it.

Expected goals, or xG, is a way of rating each shot by how often chances from that position turn into goals. The home side's total of 1.96 means they created chances worth roughly two goals, which is clearly above the 1.33 they average at home. They took 22 shots, well up on their usual 16.8, and 11 of them were on target.

Chapecoense had 41% of the ball and managed nine shots, which is a long way short of the 12.4 they average on the road. Their xG of 0.79 also sits below their own away average of 1.04, so the visitors were not simply unlucky. The Chapecoense goalkeeper made eight saves, which is the main reason the margin was not larger.

Bragantino have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per home game this season, and here they kept a clean sheet. Chapecoense average 2 goals conceded on their travels, and this time they conceded three, while scoring none against their usual 1.2. The league average of 2.8 goals per match was not far off the three that were scored here.

Lucas Henrique Barbosa supplied the assist for the second goal, and Jose Herrera set up the late third for Henry Mosquera, who had also scored earlier in the match. Wallace Yan finished the game with a rating of 9.3, which is the kind of mark that reflects a player who was involved in the decisive moments. Neither side received a card of any kind, and there were no sendings off or penalties to change the course of the game.

Both teams come into this match with patchy recent form. Bragantino have lost three of their last six matches, while Chapecoense have lost four of theirs. A result like this one gives the home side a clearer picture of what their attack can produce when chances come their way in quantity.

Bragantino sit 10th in the table with 41 points from 32 matches. Chapecoense are 20th with 21 points from 31 matches, and they have the weaker home and away records of the two sides on the day.

Player of the matchWallace2 goals9.3

Lucas Barbosa1 assist7.5

Henry Mosquera1 goal7.5

Ryan Tavares2 chances created7.4