Dinamo Zagreb had the ball and the shots, but Rudes had the goal
Rudes1 – 0Dinamo Zagreb 
Dinamo Zagreb were reduced to ten on 72 minutes and still lost to Rudes, despite most of the ball and far more shots.
Iker Almena Horcajo was sent off for Dinamo Zagreb on 72 minutes, and that is the first thing to know about this defeat at Stadion Radnik. Dinamo were already behind by then, Junior Fernandes having scored for Rudes on 30 minutes from a pass by Jurica Poldrugac, so the last eighteen minutes were played a man short. A goal by Dion Drena Beljo on 83 was cancelled after a VAR check, and Dinamo left with nothing.
Dinamo had the ball for 77% of the match, well above their away average of 60.7%. Rudes had 23%, a long way under their home average of 39.1%. Possession is simply how long each side keeps the ball, and here the side with much less of it took the points.
Ball possession
Dinamo also had the shots. They took 26, against an away average of 16.3, and 18 of them came from inside the box. Expected goals, a figure that scores each chance by how often chances of that kind go in, put their total at 2.6, higher than the 1.94 they usually produce on their travels. Only three of those efforts were on target, so the pressure produced more chances than finishes.
Rudes did their damage in front of goal, and they did it with more shots than usual. Their 13 was well up on the 8.9 they average at home, and their expected goals of 1 was a little above the 0.86 they normally manage. Junior Fernandes turned the chance that mattered into the goal, and the keeper L. Rogić made three saves to protect the lead, which is the kind of work a narrow win depends on.
Dinamo's 26 shots were more than double the league average of 12.3 per side. Their 2.6 expected goals also sat above what Rudes usually concede at home, which tells us the visitors created more than this home defence normally allows. For Rudes the match was closer to ordinary on the shots they took, and the scoreline reflects that they were the side that scored.
On the table the result runs against the standings, with Rudes ninth and Dinamo second. Rudes have conceded 27 goals in their home matches this season, and Dinamo have conceded 13 in their away games. Neither record is the whole story of this afternoon, but both show where each side has been weakest.
Rudes have picked up 10 points from their home matches this season, while Dinamo have taken 22 from their away ones. The one-goal margin is the smallest of the day's facts, but a sending off in the second half is what the result leaves behind for Dinamo.
J. Fernándes1 goal
J. Poldrugač1 assist
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf4 chances created
M. Valinčić3 chances created