Samsunspor lost a man at 37 minutes and Amed still came back to win

A red card for each side and a late winner from Dia Saba gave Amed a 2-1 win at Samsunspor, who had led for most of the first half.

Amed won 2-1 at Samsunspor, and the sending off that mattered came early in the second quarter of the match. A. Sousa was dismissed for the home side at 37 minutes after two yellow cards in quick succession, leaving Samsunspor a man short for more than fifty minutes. They had been ahead since Logi Tomasson scored at 21, set up by Tanguy Coulibaly, so the afternoon turned on how they managed with ten men.

Samsunspor usually keep more than half the ball at home, and this time they had less of it. Their share was 47 per cent against a home average of 55, a clear drop for a side that normally holds the game in its own ground. They also managed only six shots, two of them on target, which is well short of the 11.9 they average at home and the 12.9 a typical side in this league produces.

Expected goals, or xG, is a rough way of measuring the quality of chances, where a tap-in counts for far more than a shot from distance. Samsunspor's 0.74 sat under their home average of 0.89, so their chances were both fewer and a little poorer than normal. Amed were the reverse. Their 21 shots were far above their away average of 14.1, and twelve of them came from outside the box, which means most were from long range and tend to be less likely to go in.

The turn came at 73 minutes, when Gift Orban converted a penalty to level the score. Amed had lost a man of their own by then, as M. Diagne was sent off at 61 after a second yellow card, so both sides were playing with ten for the closing stretch. Eleven minutes after the penalty, Dia Saba scored the winner, and Orban was the player who set it up. Orban finished with eight shots, four of them on target, and a goal and an assist, while Samsunspor's goalkeeper made three saves to keep the game alive until then.

Samsunspor conceded twice, fewer than the 2.4 they usually let in at home, and scored once, above their usual 0.9. Amed's two goals were close to their away average of 2.3, so the scoreline was fairly ordinary for the visitors. The match produced three goals in all, which is near the 2.9 a typical game in this league yields, so the result was unusual for the way it was won rather than for how many goals were scored.

Amed sit second in the table and Samsunspor are 17th, and the gap is wider than this one result. Amed have won five of their eight away matches, and they have not lost any of their last six. Samsunspor have lost all of their last six.

Player of the matchLumbardh Dellova1 chance created7.9

Logi Tomasson1 goal7.5

Elliot Watt2 chances created7.3

Dia Saba1 goal7.3