Tottenham's three goals ran well ahead of their chances

Tottenham beat Coventry 3-1 with far more goals than their chances usually bring, while Coventry's shooting was close to their normal level.

Tottenham had averaged 0.5 goals in their home matches this season, so scoring three at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium stands out on the scoreboard. The chances behind those goals tell a more ordinary story. Their expected goals, a figure that adds up how good each shot was judged to be from where and how it was taken, came to 0.86. That is below their own average of 1.01 and well short of the Premier League figure of 1.47 per side.

Maddison put Tottenham ahead in the 14th minute, from a pass by Mohammed Kudus. Jack Rudoni levelled for Coventry in the 49th minute, assisted by Brandon Thomas-Asante, before Omar Marmoush restored the lead in the 58th, set up by Andrew Robertson. Ben Davies made it 3-1 in the 90th minute, assisted by Dominic Solanke, and that goal settled it.

Tottenham had 66% of the ball, against a season average of 59.33%, and took 16 shots, more than their usual 13.67. Five of those were on target. Coventry had 34% possession, below their away average of 38%, but their 13 shots were above their own away average of 10 and close to the league average of 13.28 per side.

The difference for Coventry was where their shots came from. Twelve of their 13 were taken inside the penalty box, against 10 for Tottenham, yet only one reached the target. Their expected goals of 0.84 sat almost exactly on their away average of 0.83. Scoring once from that level of chance is in line with how they have been shooting away from home this season.

The highest rating went to Maddison, on 8.2, who scored and created one clear chance. Marmoush (7.76) and Kudus (7.7) followed, Kudus with two key passes and an assist to his name. On the Coventry side Rudoni led with 6.76, having scored and won four of his duels, while Thomas-Asante won nine duels, the most of anyone on the pitch for either side.

Tottenham had not won in their last six matches, so this was their first win in that run. Their results had been a mix of draws and defeats, with three losses in the sequence. Coventry arrived having lost four of their last six away matches, and this result gave them little to build on from a trip south.

Before kick-off Tottenham were 16th in the table and Coventry 17th, both on the same points total from seven games. The score leaves Tottenham's chances and goals looking very different, with the table now recording a win they had been waiting for.

Player of the matchJ. Maddison1 goal8.2

Omar Marmoush1 goal7.8

M. Kudus1 assist7.7

B. Davies1 goal7.3