Ümraniyespor's 4-0 came after Sivasspor lost a man in minute seven
Ümraniyespor beat Sivasspor 4-0 at home, but the match turned on a red card shown in the seventh minute.
Sivasspor spent almost the whole match with ten men. Kamil Fidan was sent off in the seventh minute, after a VAR check, the video review officials use on contested decisions, confirmed an upgrade of his card. The visitors then played for more than 80 minutes a man short, and Ümraniyespor scored four times, at 27, 63, 67 and 79 minutes.
Ümraniyespor had 62% of the ball. That is well above their usual share at home this season, 45.4% across eight matches, and it is a figure worth noticing. Possession on its own tells us little, though, so the more useful number is what they did with it. They took 14 shots, against a usual 9 in their home games.
Ball possession
Expected goals, or xG, is a way of adding up how good each chance was, from close to zero for a hopeless effort to close to one for a near certain goal. Ümraniyespor's total for the match was 1.82. In a typical home game this season they have managed 0.64, and an average side in this league reaches 1.23. Put simply, the chances were not only more numerous but better.
Berat Yılmaz was at the centre of it. He scored at 27 minutes, then turned provider for Alejandro Blanco at 63, which is why his rating of 8.5 was the highest on either side. Tomislav Glumac added a goal at 67, set up by Santeri Hostikka, and Melih Bostan finished the scoring at 79.
Sivasspor had 38% of the ball, below the 44.8% they usually keep on their travels. They managed only four shots, against an average of 11.3 in their away games, and just one of them was on target. Their chance quality was low too: the xG total was far under the 1.29 they usually create away from home.
Ümraniyespor's defensive figures were also out of the ordinary. They usually concede 1.08 in xG at home, meaning the chances their opponents create against them, but Sivasspor's chances here were well short of that. The home side kept a clean sheet, which is not what their season average of 0.9 goals conceded per home game would have led you to expect.
The four goals were also well above what an average match in this league produces, 2.7 goals per game. Sivasspor, who usually score 1.3 goals on their travels, got none. Melih Bostan's goal at 79 minutes came after Sivasspor had already made four substitutions, and by then the score had long since stopped being in doubt.
Berat Yılmaz
Álex Blanco
S. Hostikka
T. Glumac
1 goal · 1 assist