Hinestroza's late double turned Vasco's chances into victory

Vasco da Gama came from a goal down to beat Corinthians at São Januário, with Marino Hinestroza scoring twice in the final minutes after the visitors had led for most of the second half.

Corinthians had been ahead since the 57th minute, and with eight minutes left they still looked likely to take something from the game. Then Marino Hinestroza scored in the 88th minute to level things, and he struck again in the 90th to settle it. Vasco had been the side creating the better openings, and the late goals came from exactly that pressure.

The chances tell the story before the goals do. Vasco had 25 shots, where their usual home total this season is 17.1. Their expected goals, a figure that adds up how good each chance was, reached 1.79, against a usual 1.25 at home. The league average is 1.32 per side, so Vasco were well clear of both their own norm and the division's.

The ball ran the other way, and that is what makes the chances more striking. Vasco had 63% possession, where they usually have 54.2% at home. Corinthians had 37%, well short of the 56.7% they normally keep on the road, and they managed only 12 shots, below their away average of 14.2. Their expected goals of 0.77 also sat under the 1.04 they usually produce away. They had less of the ball than usual and fewer good chances, yet they still held the lead for most of the second half.

Vasco's first goal came through Jose Luis Rodriguez in the 35th minute, and Corinthians replied through Gustavo Henrique at 50 and Matheus Bidu at 57. Two goals is above Corinthians' usual away return of 0.9, and three conceded is well above the 1.7 they usually give up on the road. The five goals in the match also beat the league average of 2.8 per game. Hugo Souza made five saves for Corinthians, which tells you how much work the visitors' goalkeeper had to do.

Hinestroza's two goals were the product of Vasco's pressure in the box. Eighteen of their 25 shots came from inside the penalty area, against eight for Corinthians. That kind of territory is where late chances are most likely to appear, and Vasco kept creating them until one went in. Nobody was sent off, so both sides finished with eleven men on the pitch.

Coming into the game, Vasco had won three of their last six, with two defeats and a draw. Corinthians had lost five of their last six, with a single draw in that run. Vasco now sit 15th in the table with 35 points, while Corinthians are 16th on 33.

Player of the matchM. Hinestroza2 goals9.6

J. Rodríguez1 goal7.4

Matheus Bidu1 goal7.2

David1 assist6.9