Alverca had more of the ball, but Casa Pia had the better chances

Alverca and Casa Pia drew 1-1, with the home side enjoying more possession and shots than usual but creating fewer clear chances.

Alverca usually have the ball less often at home than they had it here. Their average is 39.7% of possession, and they got 55% against Casa Pia, which is a clear step up for them. They also took more shots than they usually do, 14 against a home average of 10.7. The catch is that the quality of those chances fell away. Expected goals, a measure of how likely a chance is to go in based on where and how it was taken, came to 0.74. Their usual figure is 1.22, so most of their attacks were the sort that rarely score.

Casa Pia were the reverse. Away from home they usually create about 0.55 in expected goals, and here they reached 0.92, a noticeably better set of chances than normal. They took the lead in the 36th minute through Selvi Clua, with Henrique Araújo providing the assist. Clua's goal came from a side that had spent much of the first half without the ball, which made it a sharper return than the figures on possession alone would suggest.

Alverca levelled in the 66th minute. Ian Luccas finished after a pass from Francisco Chiquinho, and it was the first goal he had scored in this match. For Alverca that was their only goal, and it sits just below their usual scoring rate of 1.3 per game. Casa Pia's single goal was above their away average of 0.5, while the 1 they conceded was below the 1.9 they usually let in on their travels.

Much of the story at the back belongs to the Casa Pia goalkeeper, P. Sequeira, who made four saves, the most of either side. Alverca's keeper made three. Both sides hit the target about as often as they usually do: Alverca had five shots on target, Casa Pia four. Seven of Alverca's shots came from inside the box, and six of Casa Pia's did, so both teams were getting into the areas where goals are scored. Luccas and Sequeira were the two players whose contributions stood out most in the match ratings, the first for his finish and the second for stopping what came his way.

Discipline was not a factor in the result. Alverca picked up three yellow cards and Casa Pia one, and nobody was sent off. The game was also quieter in front of goal than the league average would suggest. Across the division, teams average 11.8 shots a game and 2.6 goals a match. Alverca's 14 shots were above that shot figure, Casa Pia's 10 were below it, and the two goals in this game fell short of the usual total.

Both clubs are in the bottom half of the table, though not in the same place. Alverca are 11th with 11 points from ten matches, and have won three of their last six games. Casa Pia have won two of their last six, with one draw and three defeats, and sit 17th on seven points. Casa Pia remain 17th on seven points.

Player of the matchSilvi1 goal7.6

Ian Luccas1 goal7.5

David Sousa1 chance created7.1

André Vidigal1 chance created7.0