Frankfurt's chances ran well above their norm against Hamburger SV

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Hamburger SV 3-1 at Deutsche Bank Park after an own goal in the tenth minute, and the chances they made were well above their usual level.

Warmed Omari put the ball into his own net in the tenth minute, and Eintracht Frankfurt led for four minutes before Terem Moffi equalised for Hamburger SV. Frankfurt then scored twice more, both after the interval, and the figures suggest the final margin reflects the chances as much as the goals.

Expected goals, a measure of how good each chance was based on where it was taken from, came to 2.02 for Frankfurt. Their home average is 1.19, so they created well above their usual level, and 12 of their 15 shots came from inside the box. Their goals were up too: they scored three, where a home side in this league usually scores 1.4 in a match.

Possession was close to normal, though. Frankfurt had 52% of the ball against their usual 50, and Hamburger had 48%, which is more than the 40.9 they average away from home. Hamburger's 12 shots produced only three on target, and their goalkeeper, Daniel Heuer Fernandes, made eight saves to stop the score running further away from them.

Raphael Onyedika Nwadike scored at 47 minutes, straight after the restart, and his display earned an 8, the top rating on either side. Farès Chaïbi had a goal ruled out at 63 after a VAR check, the video review that confirms or cancels decisions, yet he still produced six key passes, meaning passes that led directly to a shot. Younes Ebnoutalib added the third at 69.

Frankfurt's defence was tighter than usual. Hamburger's chances, measured the same way, came to 1.09 expected goals, against the 1.82 Frankfurt usually concede at home, and Frankfurt conceded one goal where their home average is 2.4. Hamburger went the other way, conceding three against an away average of 2.3, so the defensive gap ran in Frankfurt's favour on both counts.

Frankfurt's recent run had looked different from this result. In their last six matches they had won two, drawn one and lost three, and one of those defeats ended with them conceding six and scoring none.

In the table, Hamburger sit 13th, and their away record reads three wins and four defeats from seven matches.

Player of the matchR. Onyedika1 goal8.0

T. Moffi1 goal7.8

Y. Ebnoutalib1 goal7.6

Daniel Heuer Fernandes8 saves7.6