Napoli lost a man, then conceded a 90th-minute penalty

FC Porto beat Napoli at the Estádio do Dragão after the visitors were reduced to ten, and the chances tell a sharper story than the scoreline.

Napoli were a man down when Rafael Marin Zamora was sent off in the 88th minute, and two minutes later Samuel Aghehowa converted a penalty that settled the match for FC Porto. Until then the game had swung twice, with Scott McTominay levelling for Napoli just before half-time after Jan Bednarek had given Porto the lead. It was the late sending off that changed how the rest of the evening reads, because Napoli spent the closing minutes defending with fewer players than they started with.

The most striking figure belongs to Porto. Their expected goals, a measure that adds up how likely each shot was to go in based on where it was taken and how it was struck, came to 2.75. Their usual figure at home is around 1.05, so they created chances far beyond their own normal level. They also had 19 shots, against a home average of 9, and 12 of those came from inside the penalty area.

Napoli were not the side that was short of the ball. They had 48% of possession, a little above their away average of 44.3%, and that is a normal share for them rather than a surprise. Their chances told a different story. They managed 11 shots, close to their usual 10, but their expected goals of 1.27 sat well below the 1.75 they usually generate on the road. Put simply, they kept the ball without getting into dangerous positions as often as they normally do.

Porto's finishing was also sharper than their chances alone would suggest. They scored four times at home, which is far above their usual 0.7 per match. Napoli, on the other hand, conceded four away from home, against a normal figure of 2.3, so the defensive trouble was not confined to the closing stages. Napoli's goalkeeper made four saves, while Porto's Diogo Costa made five, which is a useful reminder of how often the visitors were pulled into shooting from the edge of the area.

Gabri Veiga was the clearest figure for Porto. He scored in the 71st minute and was involved in the buildup to several of their best moments, and his match rating of 8.9 reflects a performance that changed the game when the match needed a lift. Bednarek, who opened the scoring in the 11th minute, and Jakub Kiwior, who added a goal in the 80th, also did their share. For Napoli, McTominay was the one name with a goal to show for a fine night in midfield, and his rating of 7.6 is about what his contribution deserved.

The discipline record deserves a mention too. Napoli picked up four yellow cards, including two in the space of a minute at 35 and 36, before the red card arrived. Porto had one booking at home, which fits with a side whose chances came from attacking rather than from fouling. Napoli had to change the shape of their defence while they were already under pressure, and the numbers show they had little room left to recover.

For Porto, this is their first win from three matches, lifting them from no points to three in the table. Napoli had three points coming into this game, and they leave with the same total, having taken the lead before losing the match in the final stages.

Player of the matchGabri Veiga1 goal · 1 assist8.9

J. Bednarek1 goal8.1

J. Kiwior1 goal7.9

Samu1 goal7.8