Juventus's chances far above their away norm in Fiorentina draw

Fiorentina and Juventus shared the points, but the chances tell a sharper story than the scoreline.

Mateo Pellegrino gave Fiorentina the lead inside four minutes, with Pedro Goncalves providing the pass, and the match kept swinging after that. Nick Woltemade and Gleison Bremer brought Juventus level twice, with Alieu Njie's goal putting the home side ahead in between. Four goals is above the 3.2 that an average Serie A match produces, but the chances beneath the scoreline tell the more interesting story.

Fiorentina had 40% of the ball, below their usual 46.6% at home this season, yet they still made more of their chances than normal. Expected goals, a measure of how likely each shot was to go in, came out at 1.97. That is well above their home average of 1.35, which means the side with less of the ball still had plenty of clear openings across the afternoon.

Juventus had 60% of the ball, almost exactly their away average of 59.4%, so there was nothing unusual about their share. Their chances were another matter. Their expected goals reached 2.46 against a usual 1.28 on the road, the highest figure of the two sides and far above what they normally create away from home. Randal Kolo Muani supplied the pass for Woltemade's equaliser, and he created four key passes of his own, a sign of how often the visitors found the final ball.

The other side of Juventus's figures is what they say about their defending. On the road they usually concede 0.59 expected goals, and the chances Fiorentina made here were far beyond that. Juventus also let in two goals, where their away average is 1.0, so they gave up more than they usually do even though they still left with a point. Fiorentina, by contrast, conceded two against a home average of 2.3, which is ordinary for them.

Pellegrino opened the scoring and finished the match rated among the best on the pitch, with his strike the most direct of the afternoon. Álex Jiménez won nine of his duels, the most of any player listed for either side, and he kept Fiorentina's midfield active while Juventus pressed. On the other end, G. Vicario made four saves, as many as the home goalkeeper, which kept the visitors in the match when the home side had their best spells.

Recent form points in a similar direction. Fiorentina have won one of their last six matches and drawn two, while Juventus have won three of theirs and lost two. Those six results explain why the home side arrived at this fixture with less confidence than the scoreline might suggest, and why the visitors could take a point without feeling they had escaped.

Juventus remain seventh in the table, while Fiorentina stay 15th on eight points.

Player of the matchMateo Pellegrino1 goal8.2

N. Woltemade1 goal8.2

Pote1 assist7.7

Douglas Luiz1 assist7.5