Göztepe kept the ball but not the chances; Visca won it late

Göztepe lost 2-1 at home to Başakşehir after keeping more of the ball than usual, with E. Visca's 83rd-minute winner deciding it.

Göztepe had more of the ball at home than they usually do, and it bought them very little. They kept 49% of possession against a normal 39.3%, and their 14 shots were close to their usual tally. Expected goals, a rough score for how likely each chance was to go in, came to 0.90, far below the 1.78 they average at home. Their chances were thin, and that is what decided the afternoon.

Juan gave Göztepe the lead in the 18th minute, but Başakşehir were level four minutes later. Davie Selke scored the equaliser with Ivan Brnić credited with the assist, and Selke finished the match with the highest rating on either side, 8.3. He also won nine individual duels, which showed how much of the contest ran through him.

The winner came late. E. Visca struck in the 83rd minute after an assist from O. Bulut, leaving seven minutes on the clock for Göztepe to respond. Until then the game had been level, and the visitors had done just enough to keep their shape in the final stretch.

Başakşehir's away average is 11.9 shots, so their 14 were above their usual output, and 11 of them came from inside the box. Their chances added up to 0.99 expected goals, below the 1.44 they normally reach on the road. Even so, two goals was above their usual return of 1.7 a match, so they turned a modest chance count into a result.

Both sides had more shots than the league's typical 12.7 per team, yet neither reached the usual 1.27 expected goals. The three goals scored matched the league's typical three per match exactly. In other words, this was an ordinary game for goals, with the quality of the chances doing the work.

Göztepe's goalkeeper was the busier of the two, which is worth noting given the home side's problems in front of goal. Only three of Göztepe's shots were on target, while Başakşehir managed four. The visitors' better share of efforts at the goal mouth was the margin between the two sides.

Göztepe are ninth in the table with 15 points from ten matches, one point above Başakşehir, who are tenth with 14 from the same number of games. A home defeat leaves the hosts with the same number of wins as before, but with a lower return from their best chances.

Player of the matchDavie Selke1 goal8.3

Juan Santos da Silva1 goal7.6

Novatus Miroshi1 chance created7.5

Ivan Brnić1 assist7.5