Kayserispor's six were more than their chances promised

Kayserispor beat Muğlaspor 6-0 at home, scoring well beyond what their chances suggested while Muğlaspor were held to very little.

Six goals at home to Muğlaspor, and only eight shots to get them. Kayserispor were ahead in the sixth minute, when Mamadi Camará finished a move that Taulant Seferi started, and by half-time Daniel Moreno had scored twice in two minutes. Most sides would call that a good afternoon's work. The numbers say it was a little more than that.

Expected goals, usually shortened to xG, is a way of adding up the quality of each chance, so a tap-in counts for far more than a shot from distance. Kayserispor's chances this time came to 2.69 xG, which is close to their usual 2.88 at home. In other words, the chances were roughly ordinary. What was out of the ordinary was the finishing, because six goals is well above their home average of 2.3 a match.

They did not simply have more of the ball or the shots, either. Kayserispor held 59% of possession, almost exactly their home norm of 58.3%. They took eight shots, against a home average of 15.3, and six of those were on target. Seferi, who had the most successful dribbles in the match and eleven duels won, was rated 9 for a performance that was more about hard work than finishing.

Muğlaspor were the side that looked different from their usual selves. Their possession was 41%, below the 50.3% they average on the road, and they managed eight shots against a usual 11.6. Their chances added up to 0.85 xG, where they normally create 1.67 away from home. They also scored nothing, after averaging 2.1 goals in their away games this season, and conceded six where they usually concede 1.5.

Kayserispor's record is now in a stronger place than the one they had on the road. They sit second in the table with 27 points from 12 matches, with eight wins, three draws and one defeat at home, scoring 26 and conceding nine. Muğlaspor are eighth on 18 points from the same number of games, with four wins, six draws and two defeats away.

Kayserispor kept a clean sheet, which is no surprise given that they usually concede 0.8 goals at home. Their last six matches include four wins, which puts this result in the middle of a run rather than at the end of one.

Player of the matchMamadi Camará1 goal · 2 assists9.5

T. Seferi1 goal · 1 assist9.0

D. Moreno2 goals8.9

G. Sağlam1 assist7.6