Nashville came back from two down to win with a 90th-minute goal

Nashville SC beat New York Red Bulls 3-2 after trailing by two, with Sam Surridge's late goal settling it.

Nashville SC were two goals behind before half-time, and still came back to beat New York Red Bulls 3-2, with Sam Surridge scoring in the 90th minute. The match had an earlier turning point: Cade Cowell missed a penalty for New York in the 19th minute. Julian Hall and Rafael Mosquera then gave the visitors a two-goal lead by the 40th minute, and Nashville spent the rest of the night chasing it.

Nashville had the ball for 62% of the match. That is well above their home average this season of 54.1%, so they were on it more than usual. New York had 38%, below their own away average of 49.9%. The visitors gave up more of the ball than they normally do, and that is the first sign that this was not an ordinary night for either side.

Expected goals, usually shortened to xG, scores each shot by how likely it was to go in, based on where it was taken from. Nashville produced 2.85 of it against a home average of 1.95, and 18 of their 20 shots came from inside the box. New York's shot count was close to their away average of 14.7 a match, but their chances were better, and their expected goals reached 2.94 against a normal 2.16 on the road.

Nashville usually concede about one expected goal at home, so New York's chances this time added up to almost three. The league averages 3.3 goals a match, and this one had five. Two of those five were own goals, at 45 and 78, and both were credited to Nashville. Those two strokes of fortune mattered as much as anything in the open play.

Hall, who scored New York's first, was rated 7.8, the highest mark in the match. Surridge's winner came from a pass by Cristian Espinoza, who also took part in the goal that brought Nashville level. In goal for New York, Elias Horvath kept the score within reach with a string of saves, and his side needed every one of them to stay in the game until the end.

Nashville had won their previous three matches, and four of their last six overall. New York lost their match before this one and have lost four of their last six. The two sides were moving in opposite directions as they walked out, and the result confirmed it.

Cowell, whose penalty was the first big moment of the night, had been replaced by the 59th minute, well before Nashville's winner. He was not on the pitch when Surridge scored, and the goal finished the evening for New York.

Player of the matchJ. Hall1 goal7.8

C. Espinoza1 assist7.7

S. Surridge1 goal7.5

C. Cowell1 assist7.3