Kamara's late winner beat Lincoln after Jefferies levelled

QPR won 2-1 at Loftus Road with far more of the ball, but Lincoln created chances of better quality than QPR usually allow.

Glen Kamara's goal on 80 minutes settled a game that had looked likely to end level. Richard Kone had given QPR the lead on 11 minutes, Dom Jefferies brought Lincoln back on level terms on 29, and Kamara's finish, set up by Ilias Chair, came when the home side had spent most of the afternoon in control of the ball, though the margin was never comfortable.

The possession figures are the clearest place to start. QPR had 69% of the ball, well above the 49% they usually have at home, while Lincoln's 31% fell short of the 40.3% they average on their travels. Passing told the same story, with QPR completing far more of their attempts than their visitors managed, and Lincoln were pushed back into their own half for long spells.

Shots were a different matter. QPR took 21, which is well above their home average of 13.3, and more than half of them came from inside the box. Their expected goals figure, which measures how good each chance was on a scale from 0 to 1, came to 1.66 against a usual 1.44, so the chances were better than normal. Only four of those efforts were on target, however, which is why the scoreline stayed tight until the end.

Lincoln's shot count was ordinary, with their 12 attempts close to the 11.6 they average away from home. Their quality was not quite ordinary, though. Their expected goals came to 1.16, a shade under the 1.25 they usually produce on the road, but QPR normally allow 0.76 at home, so the visitors created more danger against them than the home side usually concedes. QPR also conceded just once, below the 1.3 they usually let in at Loftus Road.

Kamara's goal was his second of the afternoon in the sense that he had been the most involved in the build-up, and his finish gave QPR the win their pressure had earned. Kemper provided the assist for Kone's opener, while Jefferies' equaliser came from a Draper pass, and Draper, who made ten successful duels, was Lincoln's most busy player in midfield. Each of those moments came from a clear piece of work rather than a single chance.

Form explains some of why the result matters. Lincoln have lost four of their last six games, and sit 19th in the table with 15 points from 14 matches. QPR are 12th on 21 points from the same number of games, and this win moved them further from the bottom of the table.

Player of the matchG. Kamara1 goal8.2

R. Kone1 goal7.9

B. Kemper1 assist7.6

D. Jefferies1 goal7.4